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Atmospheric CO2

January 2024 422.80 ppm

January 2023 419.48 ppm

Annual change: +0.79%

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Thanks, Keith. It's not year over year that matters, but decadal average over decadal average.

But you did make me notice a phrasing error in the paragraph above the decadal projections, which I just fixed. Thanks for that!

Thomas

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On my website - https://chasingthesquirrel.com/ - in the upper right corner I post the CO2 PPM for the previous month compared to the PPM exactly ONE YEAR AGO. This eliminates seasonal variation. I have been watching several years and CO2 concentration is accelerating. An automatic calculation is done every month to give the percent change compared to a year ago. Last month it was a +0.68% increase for the year. I can remember when less than half a percent was the norm.

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You have a units typo in there when referring to rate of CO2 growth. You have units of 2C increasing to 2.4C. I assume you mean 2ppm increasing to 2.4ppm

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I appreciate your dread fascination with climate change. Better leaders could have fixed this.

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What the sane are up against is righteous indignation of those who view climate change as a New World Order hoax. There are gleeful celebrations of this exchange between Rep. Massie (KY), an engineer and John Kerry, former secretary of state: https://twitter.com/i/status/1733149795118649636

Any higher power you may recognize will testify to my contempt for Ivy League political science degree holders, but Massie seems to be not cognizant of the wet bulb temperature limit. Even a trained MIT engineer can have serious blind spots particularly when his largest campaign donors pay for the blinders.

I try to engage these denialists indirectly by pointing out our country's aquifer depletion coupled with the decreasing yield from fracked gas and oil fields. They respond with a hand wave. Their god won't let them run out of what are for the rest of us: nonrenewable resources.

I think that Mother Nature wants our species off this planet pronto. We are giving her more than enough assistance.

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Exxon's 1982 (1978) chart predicted where we'd be, very accurately (media ignored). Of course, along came slick-water fracking after Katrina wrecked Shell's Gulf TLPs, so it's more like this, before Biden's war to save a planet-destroying FRACKING Ponzi scheme:

https://chemistry.beloit.edu/classes/Chem117/pdf/fuel/frack_national_geographic.pdf

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/06/revealed-1000-super-emitting-methane-leaks-risk-triggering-climate-tipping-points

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PGfIjCG-zB4

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ianpalmer/2023/01/17/a-fresh-reading-of-exxons-predictions-of-global-warming-and-climate-change-from-40-years-ago/?sh=146924567840

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I expect China to be one of the last, unless they lose the North China plain early to an inundation (entirely possible.) Other countries will crack up much sooner.

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Got it, Ian. I expect the North China Plain to go early. It's low-lying land IIRC, and close to the sea.

Thomas

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Yeah, we'll see. They should be building a massive system of sea walls and dykes. The Chinese leadership has generally been more competent than ours, but that's not a high bar to jump.

Bangladesh (your picture) will obviously be one of the first, and when it cracks up the refugee wave to India will be something else and cause massive problems, especially given India's constantly ramping up hatred of Muslims and Bengalis.

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